SBUX (Starbucks) Risk Assessment


SBUX Starbucks Corp SBUX
81 GF Score
Price $104.27
GF Value $98.67
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Starbucks Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Starbucks is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Starbucks  (NAS:SBUX) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Starbucks Risk Assessment Related Terms

SBUX vs MCD, YUM, CMG: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Starbucks's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Starbucks Risk Assessment vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starbucks's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starbucks's Risk Assessment falls into.


SBUX
81GF Score
Starbucks Corp SBUX
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Starbucks (SBUX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Starbucks stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $104.27 is trading 5.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $98.67. GuruFocus considers Starbucks to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SBUX:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $98.67 vs. price of $104.27 (5.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SBUX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Starbucks Business Description

Address 2401 Utah Avenue South, Seattle, WA, USA, 98134
Starbucks stands out as the world's biggest and most recognizable coffee brand, powered by ultracustomizable beverages in-store and a sweeping footprint of nearly 41,000 cafes in over 80 countries. About 52% are company-operated, with the balance run by licensees. The company operates roasteries and sells across its North America (74% of revenue as of the end of fiscal 2025), international (21%), and channel development (5%) segments. The brand collects revenue from company-operated stores, licensee royalties, equipment and product sales, retail ready-to-drink beverages, and packaged coffee.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SBUX

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$104.27
Price
$98.67
GF Value